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What will be the international response to the EU's findings on TikTok by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Statements from international bodies or governments
Story
EU Investigates TikTok Under DSA for Russian Interference in Romania's Cancelled Presidential Election
Dec 17, 2024, 11:32 AM
The European Commission has launched a formal investigation into TikTok over allegations of Russian interference in Romania's presidential election, which led to the cancellation of the second round. Independent candidate Călin Georgescu, considered pro-Russian, unexpectedly won the first round, raising concerns about an orchestrated disinformation campaign on TikTok. The investigation centers on suspected breaches of the Digital Services Act (DSA), specifically TikTok's obligation to assess and mitigate systemic risks linked to election integrity. This marks the first time TikTok is being investigated under the DSA for election interference, posing a significant test for the EU's new social media regulation rules.
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No issues found • 25%
Minor compliance issues • 25%
Major compliance issues • 25%
Evidence of interference • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Warning Issued • 25%
Fines Imposed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Ban in EU • 25%
Effective measures implemented • 25%
Partially effective measures • 25%
Ineffective measures • 25%
Non-compliance with DSA • 25%
No violation found • 25%
Violation found but no fine • 25%
Violation found with fine • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok receives warning • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok fined • 25%
TikTok cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
TikTok required to make policy changes • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Ban from EU market • 25%
Fine imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Warning issued • 25%
Other outcome • 25%