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Will the Department of Energy release a public report on COVID-19 origins by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Department of Energy report or publication
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Investigations Reveal COVID-19 Virus Mapped by Chinese Researchers Before Public Disclosure; FBI and Department of Energy Assess Wuhan Lab Origin
Dec 26, 2024, 10:23 AM
Recent investigations have revealed that Chinese researchers mapped the virus responsible for COVID-19 at least two weeks prior to Beijing's public disclosure of the virus details. This information, reported by congressional investigators, aligns with ongoing discussions about the origins of COVID-19, which have historically been contentious. The Wall Street Journal has highlighted that the lab leak hypothesis, previously dismissed as a conspiracy theory, has gained traction among intelligence experts, with the FBI and the Department of Energy suggesting that the virus may have originated from a laboratory in Wuhan. However, disagreements within the intelligence community regarding this assessment remain significant and not fully disclosed to the public. The discourse surrounding the origins of COVID-19 continues to evolve, reflecting deeper divisions among scientists and intelligence officials regarding the implications of these findings.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Policy changes regarding NIH research funding • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official recognition of lab leak theory • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Further investigation recommended • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation not completed • 25%
No suppression found • 25%
Evidence confirmed suppressed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Public inquiry or hearings • 25%
New regulations on research funding • 25%
Diplomatic actions against China • 25%
