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Will the debt ceiling be addressed by the House within Trump's first 100 days?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official records from the U.S. House of Representatives or major financial news outlets
Story
Mike Johnson Re-Elected House Speaker, Plans 'One Big Beautiful Bill' for Trump's 'America First' Agenda in First 100 Days
Jan 5, 2025, 03:42 PM
House Speaker Mike Johnson, backed by President-elect Donald Trump, has been re-elected to lead the U.S. House of Representatives. Johnson's re-election comes with a mandate to implement an 'America First' agenda, focusing on policies that prioritize American interests. Key priorities include securing the border, addressing illegal immigration, and promoting economic prosperity. Johnson's leadership is seen as crucial for advancing Trump's legislative agenda, with the House GOP aiming to pass a comprehensive 'one big beautiful bill' through the reconciliation process within the first 100 days of Trump's inauguration. This bill will encompass border security, tax cuts, energy policy, and other elements of the 'America First' platform, including addressing the debt ceiling.
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Implements temporary measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fails to raise debt ceiling • 25%
Successfully raises debt ceiling • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Debt Ceiling Extended • 25%
Government Shutdown • 25%
No Change • 25%
Debt Ceiling Abolished • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Raised without cuts • 25%
Not raised • 25%
Raised with cuts • 25%
Other outcome • 25%