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Will the Crimean Bridge reopen by September 30, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Russian authorities or credible news outlets
Story
Ukrainian Missile Strike Hits Fuel Ferry at Russian Port Kavkaz Near Kerch Strait
Aug 22, 2024, 02:32 PM
Ukrainian forces have reportedly launched a missile strike on the Port Kavkaz in Russia's Krasnodar region, near the Kerch Strait, targeting a ferry carrying fuel. The attack, allegedly carried out using a Neptune cruise missile, has resulted in a major fire and multiple explosions at the port. Russian authorities confirmed the strike, indicating that a railroad ferry with fuel tanks, including the Akvatrader, was hit. The incident has led to the closure of the Crimean Bridge and heightened tensions in the region.
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Crimean Bridge destroyed • 25%
Crimean Bridge remains intact with no further damage • 25%
Crimean Bridge partially damaged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Dismantle the bridge • 25%
Strengthen security • 25%
Ignore the ruling • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%