Loading...
Market
What will be the next significant military action in the Kerch Strait region by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Another missile strike • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Ukrainian or Russian authorities, or credible news reports
Story
Ukrainian Missile Strike Hits Fuel Ferry at Russian Port Kavkaz Near Kerch Strait
Aug 22, 2024, 02:32 PM
Ukrainian forces have reportedly launched a missile strike on the Port Kavkaz in Russia's Krasnodar region, near the Kerch Strait, targeting a ferry carrying fuel. The attack, allegedly carried out using a Neptune cruise missile, has resulted in a major fire and multiple explosions at the port. Russian authorities confirmed the strike, indicating that a railroad ferry with fuel tanks, including the Akvatrader, was hit. The incident has led to the closure of the Crimean Bridge and heightened tensions in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Naval Engagement • 25%
Air Strike • 25%
Missile Attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Major Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Major Russian offensive • 25%
Stalemate with minor skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire or peace talks • 25%
Full-scale re-invasion of Ukraine • 25%
Defensive stance within Russia • 25%
Partial re-deployment to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Raid on another drilling rig • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Amphibious assault on coastal targets • 25%
Other military operation • 25%
Strike on another air base • 25%
Strike on ground forces • 25%
Strike on naval assets • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Formation of a new battalion • 25%
Deployment of existing naval units • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military installations • 25%
Civilian infrastructure • 25%
Commercial vessels • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine launches another strike inside Russia • 25%
Russia launches a major offensive in Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant military actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Another missile strike • 25%
Ground troop advancement • 25%
Air strikes • 25%
No further significant action • 25%