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Will the Crimean Bridge remain closed by September 30, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Russian authorities or verified news reports
Story
Ukrainian Strike Sinks 'Conro Trader' Ferry with Fuel Tanks at Russian Port Kavkaz
Aug 22, 2024, 02:58 PM
A Ukrainian military strike targeted the Port Kavkaz in the Krasnodar region of southern Russia, resulting in significant damage. The attack reportedly involved a Neptune missile that hit the ferry 'Conro Trader,' carrying 30 fuel tanks and up to 5 crew members, leading to a large fire and the eventual sinking of the ferry. Russian authorities confirmed the incident, stating that the ferry sank in the port's waters. The strike has also led to the closure of the Crimean Bridge. Emergency services are on the scene as efforts to manage the situation continue.
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Crimean Bridge destroyed • 25%
Crimean Bridge remains intact with no further damage • 25%
Crimean Bridge partially damaged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Dismantle the bridge • 25%
Strengthen security • 25%
Ignore the ruling • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
