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Will the CIO issue an arrest warrant for President Yoon by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
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Official announcements from the Corruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials (CIO) or South Korean government statements
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President Yoon Faces Arrest Warrant After Defying Third Summons in Martial Law Investigation
Dec 29, 2024, 01:15 AM
On December 29, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol defied a third summons from the Corruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials (CIO) for questioning over allegations of involvement in plans to declare martial law and incite internal disturbances. Despite the CIO's three requests for his appearance, Yoon has neither complied nor submitted a lawyer's appointment letter. His legal team argues that the CIO lacks jurisdiction over treason-related investigations. With Yoon's repeated refusals, the CIO is considering issuing an arrest warrant—a standard procedure after three ignored summons—to forcibly secure his attendance.
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Arrest warrant invalidated • 25%
Arrest executed without incident • 25%
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Arrest not executed by deadline • 25%
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