Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the CIO's investigation into President Yoon by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Charges filed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Official statements from the CIO or South Korean government announcements
Story
President Yoon Faces Arrest Warrant After Defying Third Summons in Martial Law Investigation
Dec 29, 2024, 01:15 AM
On December 29, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol defied a third summons from the Corruption Investigation Office for High-ranking Officials (CIO) for questioning over allegations of involvement in plans to declare martial law and incite internal disturbances. Despite the CIO's three requests for his appearance, Yoon has neither complied nor submitted a lawyer's appointment letter. His legal team argues that the CIO lacks jurisdiction over treason-related investigations. With Yoon's repeated refusals, the CIO is considering issuing an arrest warrant—a standard procedure after three ignored summons—to forcibly secure his attendance.
View original story
Similar markets
Investigation stalled • 25%
Proceed with prosecution • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Convicted • 25%
No charges • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
President Yoon cleared of charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President Yoon arrested • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of treason • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Charged but acquitted • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ongoing Investigations • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
No charges • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Censure or reprimand • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Travel ban only • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
President Yoon found guilty • 25%
President Yoon cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No charges • 25%
Charged with lesser offense • 25%
Charged with treason • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Indictment • 25%
Exoneration • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charged with misconduct • 25%
Resigns from office • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Arrest Warrant Issued • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%