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Market
Will South Korea's court approve arrest warrant for Yoon by January 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Seoul Western District Court or South Korean government
Story
South Korea Seeks Arrest of Impeached President Yoon Over December Martial Law Declaration
Dec 30, 2024, 01:58 AM
South Korea's Joint Investigation Team has requested an arrest warrant for impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol over his declaration of martial law on December 3. The request, filed on December 30 with the Seoul Western District Court, comes after Yoon repeatedly declined to appear for questioning. Authorities are probing whether his short-lived imposition of martial law amounts to rebellion and abuse of power. This marks the first attempt to forcibly detain a suspended president in South Korea.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Warrant is revoked • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon remains free pending appeal • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Warrant modified • 25%
Warrant upheld • 25%
Warrant declared unlawful • 25%
Major protests against Yoon • 25%
Major protests in support of Yoon • 25%
Mixed reactions with no major protests • 25%
General public indifference • 25%
