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Market
Will SpaceX Starship achieve orbit in its next test flight by March 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from SpaceX and live tracking data
Story
SpaceX Starship, First Rocket to Mars, Aims to Make Humanity Multiplanetary with Raptor Engines Producing Twice 747 Thrust
Jan 19, 2025, 03:34 PM
The SpaceX Starship is being hailed as a groundbreaking vehicle designed to facilitate human life on Mars and beyond. Multiple sources emphasize its potential to make humanity multiplanetary, with one stating that it is the first ever rocket design capable of achieving this milestone. The Starship is characterized as the most powerful flying object ever created, with each Raptor rocket engine producing twice the thrust of all four engines on a Boeing 747. This innovative rocket is positioned as a key element in extending human civilization beyond Earth, with aspirations to reach Mars and establish a presence in the New World.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Explosion during flight • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, but partial failure • 25%
Explosion during launch • 25%
Partial success (upper stage only) • 25%
Failure (neither successful) • 25%
Partial success (booster only) • 25%
Full success (booster and upper stage) • 25%
Partial success • 33%
Successful launch • 33%
Failure • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
