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Market
Will SpaceX successfully launch Starship Flight 7 in January 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official SpaceX press release or FAA confirmation
Story
FAA Grants Green Light for SpaceX Starship Flight 7 Launch in January 2025
Dec 17, 2024, 10:51 PM
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has granted SpaceX a modified launch license for Starship Flight 7. The license authorizes SpaceX to conduct multiple missions using the Starship/Super Heavy vehicle under the Flight 7 mission profile and vehicle configuration. This approval includes compliance with safety and environmental requirements, including the RCC-324-11 tailoring change request and TR24-001-STARSHIP. The FAA has given the green light for the launch, tentatively expected to occur in January 2025. The vehicle features upgrades compared to the previous flight, including the second-generation Starship. The FAA's decision highlights its commitment to enabling safe space transportation.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
First week of January • 25%
Third week of January • 25%
Fourth week of January • 25%
Second week of January • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Zero • 25%
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No • 50%
Partial Success • 25%
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Complete Success • 25%
Major issues encountered • 25%
Mission failure • 25%
All objectives completed successfully • 25%
Partial success with minor issues • 25%
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