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Market
Will SpaceX complete a successful Starship V2 upper stage test flight by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official SpaceX announcements and coverage by major space news outlets
Story
SpaceX Loses Starship V2 Upper Stage in Flight 7 Test After Engine Anomaly
Jan 16, 2025, 10:53 PM
SpaceX has encountered a significant issue during the Starship Flight 7 test, resulting in the loss of telemetry and communications with the Starship upper stage. The company confirmed the loss of signal shortly after the spacecraft's separation from the booster, following the shutdown of several Raptor engines. This event marks the first launch of the upgraded Starship V2 vehicle, which introduced numerous changes including new avionics and tank systems. SpaceX commentators have indicated that they are assuming the ship has been lost due to this 'anomaly.' Despite the setback, the booster was successfully caught, providing valuable data for future missions.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful launch, but partial failure • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Explosion during launch • 25%
Explosion during flight • 25%
Successful launch • 33%
Failure • 34%
Partial success • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
