Loading...
Market
Will SpaceX complete the FAA investigation into the 7th Starship explosion by March 31, 2025?
4
Federal Aviation Administration•FAA•SpaceX•Starship rocket•Caribbean•Debris Response Area•Turks and Caicos Islands•Elon Musk•Starship
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official FAA or SpaceX announcements
Story
FAA Orders SpaceX to Probe 7th Starship Test Flight Explosion Over Caribbean, No Injuries Reported
Jan 17, 2025, 07:34 PM
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has mandated that SpaceX conduct a mishap investigation following the explosion of its Starship rocket during its 7th test flight on January 16. The incident occurred when the rocket's upper stage disintegrated over the Caribbean, prompting the FAA to activate a Debris Response Area to manage aircraft traffic in the vicinity. No public injuries were reported, but the FAA is collaborating with SpaceX and local authorities to verify claims of property damage on the Turks and Caicos Islands. SpaceX stated that a fire in the aft section of the ship led to a 'rapid unscheduled disassembly.' Elon Musk commented that a preliminary indication suggests an oxygen/fuel leak was the cause. The investigation will delay further Starship launches until the FAA reviews SpaceX's findings and corrective actions.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Major issues found • 25%
Minor issues found • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Operational Error • 25%
Design Flaw • 25%
Manufacturing Defect • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
