Loading...
Market
Will SpaceX publicly announce the root cause of the 7th Starship explosion by February 28, 2025?
3
Federal Aviation Administration•FAA•SpaceX•Starship rocket•Caribbean•Debris Response Area•Turks and Caicos Islands•Elon Musk•Starship
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official SpaceX announcements or press releases
Story
FAA Orders SpaceX to Probe 7th Starship Test Flight Explosion Over Caribbean, No Injuries Reported
Jan 17, 2025, 07:34 PM
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has mandated that SpaceX conduct a mishap investigation following the explosion of its Starship rocket during its 7th test flight on January 16. The incident occurred when the rocket's upper stage disintegrated over the Caribbean, prompting the FAA to activate a Debris Response Area to manage aircraft traffic in the vicinity. No public injuries were reported, but the FAA is collaborating with SpaceX and local authorities to verify claims of property damage on the Turks and Caicos Islands. SpaceX stated that a fire in the aft section of the ship led to a 'rapid unscheduled disassembly.' Elon Musk commented that a preliminary indication suggests an oxygen/fuel leak was the cause. The investigation will delay further Starship launches until the FAA reviews SpaceX's findings and corrective actions.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fuel leak • 25%
Structural failure • 25%
Software malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Manufacturing Defect • 25%
Operational Error • 25%
Other • 25%
Design Flaw • 25%
Tank system issue • 25%
Other • 25%
Avionics failure • 25%
Engine malfunction • 25%
Manufacturing defect identified • 25%
Design flaw identified • 25%
Other cause identified • 25%
Operational error identified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minor issues found • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Major issues found • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
