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Market
Will South Korea take retaliatory action against North Korea by the end of 2024 due to the intelligence leak?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from South Korean government or military
Story
South Korea Probes Major Military Intelligence Leak of Agents Spying on North Korea
Jul 27, 2024, 01:20 PM
South Korea is investigating a significant leak from its military intelligence command. Local media reports indicate that the command has lost sensitive data, including information on its agents abroad, to North Korea. The investigation is focusing on the extent of the breach, the vetting info, and the potential damage to national security.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased Military Presence • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
Economic Measures Implemented • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Deployment of additional troops • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase military exercises • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military alert • 25%
Diplomatic outreach • 25%
Public denial of allegations • 25%
No official action • 25%