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Will Russian central bank assets remain frozen by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the US government or international financial institutions
Story
Biden Approves $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine Under G7's $50 Billion Initiative
Dec 11, 2024, 01:52 PM
The Biden administration has approved a $20 billion loan to Ukraine, which will be repaid using income generated from frozen Russian assets. The funds have been transferred to a World Bank financial intermediary fund as part of a broader $50 billion initiative by the G7 to support Ukraine's defense and recovery efforts. This move aims to make Russia bear the financial burden of its war in Ukraine. However, concerns have been raised over the potential reversal of the sanctions that keep Russian central bank assets frozen, as Donald Trump, who will soon take office, may attempt to cancel the loan.
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Other resolution • 25%
Assets transferred to Ukraine • 25%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Less than $100 billion • 25%
$100 billion to $200 billion • 25%
More than $300 billion • 25%
$200 billion to $300 billion • 25%
Kept frozen with no decision • 25%
Other • 25%
Allocated for humanitarian aid • 25%
Approved for Ukraine weapons purchase • 25%
Sanctions remain • 33%
Sanctions lifted • 33%
Partial lifting • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Interest earnings only • 25%
Principal liquidation • 25%
Combination of both • 25%
Not utilized • 25%