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What will be the status of the $20 billion loan to Ukraine by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully repaid • 25%
Partially repaid • 25%
Not repaid • 25%
Canceled • 25%
Reports from the World Bank or US government on the loan status
Story
Biden Approves $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine Under G7's $50 Billion Initiative
Dec 11, 2024, 01:52 PM
The Biden administration has approved a $20 billion loan to Ukraine, which will be repaid using income generated from frozen Russian assets. The funds have been transferred to a World Bank financial intermediary fund as part of a broader $50 billion initiative by the G7 to support Ukraine's defense and recovery efforts. This move aims to make Russia bear the financial burden of its war in Ukraine. However, concerns have been raised over the potential reversal of the sanctions that keep Russian central bank assets frozen, as Donald Trump, who will soon take office, may attempt to cancel the loan.
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Not repaid with negative impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Partially repaid with moderate impact • 25%
Fully repaid and positive economic impact • 25%
Military Spending • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Recovery • 25%
Infrastructure Development • 25%
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Military strengthening • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Military support • 25%
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Economic stabilization • 25%
Economic support • 25%
Emergency services • 25%
Military spending • 25%
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