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What will be the primary source of repayment for the $20 billion loan to Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Frozen Russian assets • 25%
Ukrainian government budget • 25%
International aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Financial reports or announcements from the World Bank or Ukrainian government
Story
Biden Approves $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine Under G7's $50 Billion Initiative
Dec 11, 2024, 01:52 PM
The Biden administration has approved a $20 billion loan to Ukraine, which will be repaid using income generated from frozen Russian assets. The funds have been transferred to a World Bank financial intermediary fund as part of a broader $50 billion initiative by the G7 to support Ukraine's defense and recovery efforts. This move aims to make Russia bear the financial burden of its war in Ukraine. However, concerns have been raised over the potential reversal of the sanctions that keep Russian central bank assets frozen, as Donald Trump, who will soon take office, may attempt to cancel the loan.
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Other • 25%
G7 financial support • 25%
Interest from frozen Russian assets • 25%
Direct repayment by Ukraine • 25%
Ukrainian government budget • 25%
Other sources • 25%
Frozen Russian assets • 25%
International aid • 25%
Emergency services • 25%
Other • 25%
Military support • 25%
Economic stabilization • 25%
Infrastructure development • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic support • 25%
Military spending • 25%
Economic Recovery • 25%
Military Spending • 25%
Other • 25%
Infrastructure Development • 25%
Fully repaid and positive economic impact • 25%
Partially repaid with moderate impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Not repaid with negative impact • 25%
Military strengthening • 25%
GDP growth • 25%
Infrastructure development • 25%
Debt reduction • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
State-owned enterprises support • 25%
Other • 25%
Macro-financial stability • 25%
Infrastructure development • 25%
