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Will Russia update its nuclear doctrine by the end of 2024?
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Sergey Naryshkin•Russia•Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•NATO•Ukraine•Russian•Western•RIA•National Defence•Naryshkin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Russian government publications or announcements
Story
Russia's Spy Chief Warns NATO Against Aiding Ukraine's Long-Range Strikes with Western Weapons
Nov 20, 2024, 09:12 AM
Sergey Naryshkin, the head of Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), has issued a stern warning to NATO countries against aiding Ukraine in conducting long-range strikes into Russian territory with Western weapons. In statements reported by RIA news agency and National Defence magazine, Naryshkin emphasized that any such attempts by NATO members would 'not go unpunished.' This warning comes amidst heightened tensions between Russia and NATO over the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Additionally, Naryshkin mentioned updates to Russia's nuclear doctrine, which now excludes the possibility of defeating its army on the battlefield, signaling a potential escalation in the region's military dynamics.
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More aggressive stance • 25%
Less aggressive stance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Policy remains unclear • 25%
More aggressive stance • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Adopting a defensive stance • 25%
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Formal reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Increased reliance on hypersonic missiles • 25%
No change in nuclear doctrine • 25%
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Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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