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Russia to change nuclear doctrine again by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Russian government or credible news sources
Story
UN Urges Civilian Protection After Biden Approves ATACMS Strikes on Russia
Nov 19, 2024, 09:20 PM
The United Nations, through its official representative Stephane Dujarric, has called for the protection of Russian civilians following reports that President Joe Biden has authorized Ukraine to use ATACMS missiles to strike targets deep inside Russia. This marks the first time Ukraine has used these long-range American missiles against Russian territory, a move that was approved by Biden just days ago. In response, Russian President Vladimir Putin has formally lowered the threshold for Russia's use of its nuclear weapons, adjusting its nuclear doctrine to allow for their use in response to the perceived escalation.
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More aggressive stance • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Adopting a defensive stance • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%
More aggressive stance • 25%
Less aggressive stance • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Policy remains unclear • 25%
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Decrease in nuclear arsenal • 25%
New deployment strategy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Increased reliance on hypersonic missiles • 25%
No change in nuclear doctrine • 25%
Other changes • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%