Loading...
Market
Will Romania shift to a pro-Russia foreign policy stance by the end of 2025?
3
Russian•Calin Georgescu•Romania•Georgescu•EU•Marcel Ciolacu•TikTok•Ukraine•NATO•Russia•Ciolacu•Romanian•Western
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Romanian government or significant policy changes reported by credible international news agencies.
Story
Pro-Russian Far-Right Candidate Georgescu Leads Romanian Election with Over 22%, Faces Ciolacu in Runoff
Nov 25, 2024, 05:44 AM
Far-right, pro-Russian candidate Calin Georgescu has taken a surprising lead in Romania's presidential election, according to preliminary results with over 99% of votes counted. Georgescu, who was previously ignored by pollsters, secured more than 22% of the vote in the first round, surpassing pro-EU Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, who received 19%. He gained traction by going viral on TikTok and focusing his campaign on ending support for Ukraine. Described as an ultranationalist with anti-EU, anti-NATO, pro-Russia, and pro-fascist views, Georgescu is set to face Ciolacu in a runoff election. His unexpected lead represents a seismic shift in Romanian politics and raises concerns about the country's future alignment with Western institutions.
View original story
Similar markets
Pro-EU/NATO • 25%
Pro-Russia • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Pro-EU and NATO • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Anti-EU and NATO • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Closer ties with EU • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Closer ties with EU • 33%
Closer ties with Russia • 33%
Neutral stance • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pro-EU alignment • 25%
Pro-Russian alignment • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other alignment • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Aid stopped • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Calin Georgescu wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
No election held • 25%
Election results annulled again • 25%