Loading...
Market
Will Pete Hegseth's nomination face a filibuster by February 28, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Senate proceedings or news reports
Story
Senator Joni Ernst, Combat Veteran, Backs Trump's Pick Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense Confirmation, Expecting Support from 53 GOP Senators
Jan 14, 2025, 11:38 PM
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst has publicly announced her support for Pete Hegseth's nomination as Secretary of Defense. In a series of statements, Ernst confirmed her intention to vote 'YES' on Hegseth's confirmation, stating that he was able to adequately address her questions. She emphasized her support for President Trump's choice for the position, reinforcing Hegseth's strong position for confirmation among Republican senators. With Ernst's backing, the expectation is that all 53 GOP Senators will support Hegseth's nomination, further solidifying his path to becoming the next Secretary of Defense.
View original story
Similar markets
Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
Confirmed with some GOP dissent • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Rejected with majority • 33%
Majority oppose • 25%
All support • 25%
Some oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Rejected with majority • 25%
Tie requiring Vice President's vote • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote delayed beyond March 31 • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Delayed beyond timeframe • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%