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How many Democratic Senators will vote 'YES' for Pete Hegseth by February 28, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-5 Democrats • 25%
6-10 Democrats • 25%
11-15 Democrats • 25%
More than 15 Democrats • 25%
Official Senate voting records
Story
Senator Joni Ernst, Combat Veteran, Backs Trump's Pick Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense Confirmation, Expecting Support from 53 GOP Senators
Jan 14, 2025, 11:38 PM
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst has publicly announced her support for Pete Hegseth's nomination as Secretary of Defense. In a series of statements, Ernst confirmed her intention to vote 'YES' on Hegseth's confirmation, stating that he was able to adequately address her questions. She emphasized her support for President Trump's choice for the position, reinforcing Hegseth's strong position for confirmation among Republican senators. With Ernst's backing, the expectation is that all 53 GOP Senators will support Hegseth's nomination, further solidifying his path to becoming the next Secretary of Defense.
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Similar markets
21 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Less than 6 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
6 to 10 • 25%
11-15 Senators • 25%
0-5 Senators • 25%
6-10 Senators • 25%
16 or more Senators • 25%
50 or more votes in favor • 25%
Less than 50 votes in favor • 25%
Vote not held • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Majority support • 25%
All support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Some oppose • 25%
Over 90% support • 25%
Less than 50% support • 25%
50-74% support • 25%
75-90% support • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Rejected with majority • 25%
Tie requiring Vice President's vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed with narrow margin • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with 51-60 votes • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with over 60 votes • 25%