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Will North Korea publicly acknowledge casualties in Ukraine by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official North Korean government statements or state media reports
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North Korean Soldiers in Ukraine Suffer Over 3,000 Casualties, Instructed to Commit Suicide to Avoid Capture: South Korea's NIS
Jan 13, 2025, 04:05 AM
North Korean soldiers deployed to support Russia in the conflict with Ukraine have suffered significant casualties, with approximately 300 soldiers killed and 2,700 injured, according to South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS). The total number of casualties is estimated to exceed 3,000. The NIS also reported that North Korean authorities have instructed their soldiers to commit suicide by blowing themselves up to avoid capture. This information was shared during a closed-door briefing to the South Korean parliament's intelligence committee.
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Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
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Diplomatic talks • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
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1-2 countries • 25%
3-5 countries • 25%
More than 5 countries • 25%
