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Will Mossad be confirmed as responsible for Ismail Haniyeh's assassination by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Israeli government or credible intelligence reports
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Israeli Channel 12 Reports Ismail Haniyeh Assassinated by Bomb Hidden in Pillow in Tehran Before Inauguration Ceremony
Dec 28, 2024, 07:20 PM
Israeli Channel 12 has reported that Ismail Haniyeh, the late head of Hamas, was assassinated in Tehran through a bomb concealed in his personal pillow. The channel indicated that new details regarding the assassination will be disclosed next Saturday, revealing how the bomb was placed in Haniyeh's room. The report suggests that the assassination was carried out by the Israeli intelligence agency Mossad, with the bomb strategically positioned to avoid collateral damage. Additionally, it was noted that Haniyeh had been observed visiting the same location in Tehran multiple times and staying in the same room. The bomb was reportedly planted before the inauguration ceremony of the new Iranian president.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other method • 25%
Guided missile • 25%
Bomb in pillow • 25%
Unconfirmed • 25%
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No conclusive result • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Another entity confirmed as responsible • 25%
Mossad confirmed as responsible • 25%
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No comment • 25%
Other response • 25%
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