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How will the Israeli government respond to the Haniyeh assassination report by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirms details • 25%
Denies details • 25%
No comment • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or major Israeli news outlets
Story
Israeli Channel 12 Reveals Details of Ismail Haniyeh's Assassination by Mossad in Tehran on July 31, Involving Bomb in Pillow
Dec 29, 2024, 08:50 AM
Israeli Channel 12 has reported new details regarding the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the former head of Hamas, in Tehran on July 31. The operation, attributed to the Israeli intelligence agency Mossad, involved a bomb that was reportedly hidden in Haniyeh's personal pillow. The assassination plan was reportedly in development for several months. It nearly failed when the air conditioning unit in Haniyeh's guesthouse malfunctioned, causing him to leave the room temporarily. The operation was timed to occur after the inauguration of Iran's new president to minimize embarrassment for the Iranian government. Haniyeh's assassination is described as a complex and sensitive operation, with Mossad choosing Tehran over other potential locations due to geopolitical considerations. Hamas has since denied the details provided by Israeli media, asserting that Haniyeh was killed by a guided missile targeting his mobile phone rather than an explosive device planted in his room.
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Condemnation • 25%
No Significant Reaction • 25%
Call for Investigation • 25%
Support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
Justified action • 25%
Rogue operation • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased military operations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Another entity confirmed as responsible • 25%
Mossad confirmed as responsible • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Condemnation of both • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
No formal response • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
No official response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
New sanctions against Israel • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on Israel • 25%
No significant change in international relations • 25%
