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Market
Will Marine Le Pen's party gain a key position in the National Assembly by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from France's National Assembly and major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, and Le Monde
Story
France's National Assembly Elects Macron's Choice Amid Irregular Ballot and Political Tensions
Jul 20, 2024, 11:46 AM
France's National Assembly has elected Emmanuel Macron's choice as its head, despite a fragmented parliament and political tensions. Macron's coalition managed to secure key votes, strengthening its position despite opposition from the far-left France Unbowed party, which retained control of the powerful finance committee. The election results underscore the challenges Macron faces in navigating a fractured political landscape, with no clear majority and rising influence from far-right factions. An irregular ballot shocked lawmakers at the session's start. Macron's bloc joined forces with leftists and the right-wing Republican party, while Le Pen's party failed to win key positions.
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Yes • 33%
No • 33%
Attempts but fails • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Still leader of National Rally • 25%
Resigned or removed as leader • 25%
New political role • 25%
Retired from politics • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remains leader • 25%
Resigns voluntarily • 25%
Forced to resign • 25%
Suspended temporarily • 25%
Disqualified from 2027 race • 25%
Steps down as RN leader • 25%
Continues as RN leader • 25%
Other • 25%