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Will Israel present evidence of Hezbollah's involvement in the Majdal Shams attack by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli government or military
Story
Hezbollah's Nasrallah Denies Involvement in Majdal Shams Attack in Golan Heights
Aug 1, 2024, 01:43 PM
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah has firmly denied the group's involvement in the recent attack on Majdal Shams, an Israeli-occupied village in the Golan Heights. Nasrallah stated that internal investigations confirmed that Hezbollah was not responsible for the missile strike that killed children in the village. He emphasized that Hezbollah would admit if it had made a mistake leading to civilian casualties and criticized the enemy for quickly pressing charges without providing evidence. Nasrallah extended his condolences to the families of the victims.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Denies involvement • 25%
Admits involvement • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Blames another entity • 25%
Increased military defenses • 25%
Changes in military leadership • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Hezbollah confirmed as sole perpetrator • 25%
Hezbollah and another group involved • 25%
Attack attributed to another group • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Acknowledges responsibility • 25%
Continues to deny involvement • 25%
Blames another group • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Confirmed by independent investigation • 25%
Dismissed by independent investigation • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
No investigation • 25%
US imposes sanctions • 25%
EU imposes sanctions • 25%
Arab League condemns Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah leaders indicted • 25%
Hezbollah fined • 25%
Hezbollah sanctioned • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
