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Will Hezbollah's involvement in the Majdal Shams attack be confirmed by an independent investigation by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Independent investigation reports or official statements
Story
Hezbollah's Nasrallah Denies Involvement in Majdal Shams Attack in Golan Heights
Aug 1, 2024, 01:43 PM
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah has firmly denied the group's involvement in the recent attack on Majdal Shams, an Israeli-occupied village in the Golan Heights. Nasrallah stated that internal investigations confirmed that Hezbollah was not responsible for the missile strike that killed children in the village. He emphasized that Hezbollah would admit if it had made a mistake leading to civilian casualties and criticized the enemy for quickly pressing charges without providing evidence. Nasrallah extended his condolences to the families of the victims.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Denies involvement • 25%
Admits involvement • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Blames another entity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Acknowledges responsibility • 25%
Continues to deny involvement • 25%
Blames another group • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel (Iron Dome malfunction) • 25%
Rocket launched from Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
US imposes sanctions • 25%
EU imposes sanctions • 25%
Arab League condemns Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah responsible • 25%
Iron Dome malfunction • 25%
Rocket from Syria • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
