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Will Iran take military action against US interests by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports from reputable international news agencies
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Iran's Quds Force Commander Calls for Trump's Prosecution Over Qassem Soleimani's January 2020 Assassination and Revenge
Jan 1, 2025, 05:31 PM
Iraj Masjedi, a senior commander of Iran's Quds Force, has called for the prosecution of Donald Trump in connection with the assassination of Qassem Soleimani. Masjedi stated that Trump must 'pay for this blood' and be brought to justice for giving the order to kill Soleimani. He further accused Trump of serving terrorist interests and emphasized that the assassination warranted a response. This statement comes on the anniversary of Soleimani's death, which has been marked by Iranian officials reiterating their commitment to seek retribution, although they have denied recent claims of plans to assassinate Trump. The Iranian government previously promised 'harsh revenge' following Soleimani's killing by a U.S. drone strike in January 2020.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Increase in nuclear development • 25%
Accelerated Nuclear Development • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Retaliatory military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased nuclear activity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
