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Will HTS be officially dissolved by March 31, 2025?
2
Syrian•HTS•National Dialogue Conference•Syrian Ministry of Defense•Kurdish•Kurds•Syria•PKK•Syrian Democratic Forces•SDF
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Syrian government or reports from reputable news agencies
Story
Syrian Leader Ahmed al-Sharaa Announces HTS Dissolution at National Dialogue Conference and Kurdish Integration Plans Amid PKK Concerns
Dec 29, 2024, 09:51 AM
Ahmed al-Sharaa, the de facto leader of the new Syrian administration, announced that the dissolution of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) will be declared at the upcoming National Dialogue Conference. This decision is part of broader reforms within the Syrian Ministry of Defense, which plans to integrate Kurdish forces into its ranks, emphasizing that Kurds are an inseparable part of Syria. Al-Sharaa also stated that Syria will not allow itself to be used as a base for PKK attacks, asserting a commitment to national unity and rejecting any form of division or federalism within the country. Negotiations with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are ongoing to address the northern Syria crisis, with a focus on maintaining Syria's territorial integrity.
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Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership change due to assassination • 25%
Leadership change due to external pressure • 25%
Leadership change due to internal decision • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased engagement • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Conditional engagement • 25%
