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Will the UK officially change its policy towards HTS by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official policy document or government announcement
Story
UK to Review Terror Status of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham, Says Minister, Following Assad's Ouster
Dec 9, 2024, 08:37 AM
The UK government is considering removing Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a Syrian rebel group, from its list of proscribed terrorist organizations. HTS, also known as Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham, was banned in 2017 due to its affiliation with al-Qaeda. The Home Office has noted a 'splintering' between HTS and al-Qaeda. HTS played a leading role in the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad's regime and spearheaded the Syrian armed opposition forces' alliance. Senior Minister Pat McFadden told Sky News's Kay Burley that the government would review the group's status, saying, 'We will have to consider that' and 'We'll consider it, depending on how they behave now.' He added, 'We will review it; I don't know how long that will take.' The decision reflects the changing dynamics in Syria following the ousting of Assad and signals a potential shift in the UK's approach to HTS.
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No response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Condemn the decision • 25%
Support the decision • 25%
Conditional engagement • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Modify the designation • 25%
Maintain the designation • 25%
Lift the designation • 25%
HTS removed from list • 25%
HTS remains on list • 25%
Review postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued engagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Reduced engagement • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Other policy change • 25%