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Market
Who will be confirmed responsible for the Majdal Shams bombing by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel (Iron Dome malfunction) • 25%
Rocket launched from Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from relevant authorities or verified news reports by major news agencies like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hezbollah Denies Responsibility for Deadly Majdal Shams Bombing
Jul 27, 2024, 04:59 PM
A senior official from Lebanon’s Hezbollah group, Mohammad Afif, stated that the group was not responsible for the deadly bombing of Majdal Shams in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. This denial was confirmed by multiple sources, including a Hezbollah official speaking to Reuters. Speculation suggests that the responsible entity could be a rocket launched from Syria or a malfunction of Israel's Iron Dome defense system.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Hamas • 25%
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Other group • 25%
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Blames another group • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Other • 25%
Individual acting alone • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Individual(s) acting alone • 25%
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Terrorist organization • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
