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Will Grenell secure a diplomatic agreement with Venezuela by end of 2024?
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Donald Trump•Richard Allen Grenell•Special Missions•Venezuela•North Korea•Grenell•Germany•National Intelligence•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. State Department or Venezuelan government
Story
Trump Appoints Richard Grenell Envoy for Missions in Venezuela, North Korea
Dec 15, 2024, 12:02 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has appointed Richard Allen Grenell as the Presidential Envoy for Special Missions, stating that "Ric will serve in the hottest spots around the world, including Venezuela and North Korea." Grenell, who previously served as U.S. Ambassador to Germany and acting Director of National Intelligence, will be tasked with addressing some of the world's most challenging diplomatic issues. The appointment of Grenell underscores Trump's intent to address international conflicts proactively.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Diplomatic Relations Improved • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Relations Deteriorate • 25%
Formal agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No progress • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
No change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Successful transition to González • 33%
Maduro retains power • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved Relations • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Further Deterioration • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
