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Will Evan Gershkovich be released from detention by end of 2024?
5
Evan Gershkovich•The Wall Street Journal•Yekaterinburg•Russia•Gershkovich•Russian•CIA•Uralvagonzavod
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official release announcement, Wall Street Journal reporting
Story
Wall Street Journal's Evan Gershkovich to Stand Trial in Yekaterinburg on Espionage Charges
Jun 13, 2024, 01:57 PM
Evan Gershkovich, a U.S. journalist for The Wall Street Journal, will stand trial in Yekaterinburg, Russia, on espionage charges. Gershkovich was detained by Russian authorities on March 29, 2023, and has been accused of collecting secret information for the CIA about the tank manufacturer Uralvagonzavod. Russian prosecutors, including the Prosecutor General’s office, have formally approved the indictment, sending the case to court and ending any future pre-detention appeals. Despite the serious allegations, no evidence has been publicly presented to support the charges. Gershkovich's detention, now close to 15 months, has been widely criticized as based on bogus charges, with many calling for his immediate release.
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Similar markets
Released if Trump wins • 33%
Released regardless of election outcome • 33%
Not released by end of 2024 • 33%
Acknowledges • 50%
Does not acknowledge • 50%
Positive reaction if released due to Trump's intervention • 25%
Negative reaction if released due to Trump's intervention • 25%
Positive reaction if released irrespective of US election • 25%
Negative reaction if released irrespective of US election • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Conviction and Sentencing • 33%
Acquittal • 33%
Plea Bargain • 33%
Successful Release • 33%
Continued Detention • 33%
Escalation of Efforts • 33%