Loading...
Market
Will China achieve semiconductor self-sufficiency by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official reports and announcements from China's Ministry of Technology and major semiconductor industry assessments
Story
China Announces Breakthroughs in Homegrown Chip Lithography Technology, Producing 8nm or Below
Sep 16, 2024, 06:46 AM
China has announced significant technological breakthroughs in its semiconductor industry, specifically in the development of homegrown chip lithography machines. The Ministry of Technology claims advancements in deep-ultraviolet (DUV) lithography, with a new machine capable of producing chips of 8nm or below, as noted in a government catalogue. The SMEE's extreme ultraviolet (EUV) radiation generators and lithography equipment patent, filed in March 2023, is currently under review by the China National Intellectual Property Administration. This development is seen as a crucial step in China's efforts to achieve semiconductor self-sufficiency amid ongoing US sanctions. State-linked organizations have been advised to use the new lithography machine with a resolution of 65nm or better, indicating a notable improvement in China's DUV technology.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased domestic production • 25%
Shift to non-US suppliers • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic responses • 25%
Significant advancement • 25%
Moderate advancement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
AMD • 25%
NVIDIA • 25%
Qualcomm • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Further restrictions on US companies • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Taiwan • 25%
Japan • 25%
European Union • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%