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What will be China's next major action in response to US semiconductor sanctions by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Further restrictions on US companies • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or major news outlets
Story
China Launches Anti-Monopoly Probe into Nvidia Amid Rising US-China Chip Tensions
Dec 15, 2024, 02:30 AM
China has initiated an anti-monopoly investigation into Nvidia, a leading semiconductor manufacturer, amid escalating tensions in the US-China chip industry. This move follows the United States' recent efforts to tighten controls on China's access to advanced semiconductor technology. Analysts suggest that the investigation signals China's response to being targeted by trade and technology sanctions. The probe is perceived as part of a broader strategy by China to assert its position in the semiconductor sector and may pave the way for future negotiations with the Trump administration. This comes after China banned the export of rare minerals to the US, further intensifying the economic rivalry between the two nations.
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Impose sanctions on US companies • 25%
Increase domestic production • 25%
Seek alternative suppliers • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Trade sanctions on US • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Legal Action • 25%
Retaliatory Trade Measures • 25%
Increased Domestic Investment • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Implement reciprocal export restrictions • 25%
File a WTO complaint • 25%
Negotiate with the US • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Retaliatory measures announced • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Imposes unilateral restrictions • 25%
Reaches multilateral agreement • 25%
Negotiates with Japan only • 25%
Takes no action • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions on U.S. entities • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased domestic production • 25%
Shift to non-US suppliers • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic responses • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Develop domestic alternatives • 25%
Increase imports from other countries • 25%
Retaliatory trade measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%