Loading...
Market
Will CDU lead in the opinion polls for the 2025 German federal election by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Aggregate of major German opinion polls such as INSA, Forsa, and Allensbach
Story
Friedrich Merz Seals Conservative CDU Candidacy for German Chancellor Next Year
Sep 17, 2024, 07:42 AM
Friedrich Merz, leader of the German Christian Democratic Union (CDU), has officially sealed his candidacy to challenge Chancellor Olaf Scholz in the next national election. The election is scheduled to take place in September 2025. Merz's announcement marks a significant step for the CDU as they prepare for the upcoming federal election. Merz will run as the conservative candidate in next year's federal election.
View original story
Similar markets
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Greens • 25%
AfD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Green Party • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%