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Will Friedrich Merz win the 2025 German federal election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official election results published by the German Federal Returning Officer
Story
Friedrich Merz Seals Conservative CDU Candidacy for German Chancellor Next Year
Sep 17, 2024, 07:42 AM
Friedrich Merz, leader of the German Christian Democratic Union (CDU), has officially sealed his candidacy to challenge Chancellor Olaf Scholz in the next national election. The election is scheduled to take place in September 2025. Merz's announcement marks a significant step for the CDU as they prepare for the upcoming federal election. Merz will run as the conservative candidate in next year's federal election.
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Above 40% • 25%
30%-40% • 25%
20%-30% • 25%
Below 20% • 25%
Friedrich Merz • 33%
Olaf Scholz • 33%
Another candidate • 33%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Olaf Scholz • 25%
Christian Lindner • 25%
Friedrich Merz • 25%
Other • 25%