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Market
Will CDU/CSU maintain a lead in German polls until the 2024 election day?
2
Friedrich Merz•Germany•Christian Democratic Union•CDU•Christian Social Union•CSU•Social Democrat•Olaf Scholz•SPD•German•Merz
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Polling data from reputable sources such as INSA, Forsa, or Allensbach
Story
Friedrich Merz Nominated by CDU/CSU to Challenge Olaf Scholz in 2024 German Election
Sep 23, 2024, 11:37 AM
Friedrich Merz has been officially nominated as the candidate for chancellor by Germany’s opposition conservative alliance, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU), to challenge the incumbent Social Democrat Chancellor Olaf Scholz in next year's national election. Despite the CDU/CSU's wide lead over the SPD in German polls, Merz's personal polling numbers are weaker, indicating a potentially tighter race. Merz has faced several setbacks in his political career, but the chancellery now appears within his grasp.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
The Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Green Party • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%