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Will Ayachi Zammel remain a candidate in the October 6, 2024, Tunisian presidential election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Tunisian election candidate list and news reports
Story
Tunisian Candidate Zammel, Opponent of President Saied, Sentenced to 12 Years in Prison Ahead of October 6 Election
Oct 1, 2024, 10:27 AM
Ayachi Zammel, a Tunisian presidential candidate, has been sentenced to a total of 12 years in prison on charges related to forgery and falsifying documents, according to his lawyer. This follows an earlier six-month prison sentence handed down on September 27. The Tunis II First Instance Court imposed the additional sentence, which includes three years for each of the four counts related to endorsements, and banned him from voting. Despite his imprisonment and inability to communicate with him, his campaign team has stated that they will not withdraw from the presidential race and will continue to fight in the upcoming October 6 elections. Zammel's sentencing has raised concerns over President Kais Saied's efforts to suppress meaningful opposition ahead of the election.
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Similar markets
Remains a candidate • 33%
Disqualified • 33%
Withdraws • 34%
Kais Saied • 25%
Mondher Znaidi • 25%
Imed Daimi • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court ruling upheld • 33%
Court ruling overturned • 33%
No resolution • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mandate Revoked • 25%
Mandate Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Eligible to run • 25%
Ineligible due to conviction • 25%
Ineligible due to other legal issues • 25%
Eligibility undecided • 25%
