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How will international organizations respond to Ayachi Zammel's sentencing before the October 6, 2024, Tunisian presidential election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations condemnation • 25%
European Union condemnation • 25%
Both UN and EU condemnation • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Official statements from international organizations and news reports
Story
Tunisian Candidate Zammel, Opponent of President Saied, Sentenced to 12 Years in Prison Ahead of October 6 Election
Oct 1, 2024, 10:27 AM
Ayachi Zammel, a Tunisian presidential candidate, has been sentenced to a total of 12 years in prison on charges related to forgery and falsifying documents, according to his lawyer. This follows an earlier six-month prison sentence handed down on September 27. The Tunis II First Instance Court imposed the additional sentence, which includes three years for each of the four counts related to endorsements, and banned him from voting. Despite his imprisonment and inability to communicate with him, his campaign team has stated that they will not withdraw from the presidential race and will continue to fight in the upcoming October 6 elections. Zammel's sentencing has raised concerns over President Kais Saied's efforts to suppress meaningful opposition ahead of the election.
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Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Tunisia's decision • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions Imposed • 33%
Condemnation Statements Only • 33%
No Significant Action • 33%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic statements • 25%
Legal actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Condemnation from a few countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal protests lodged • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Other actions taken • 25%
Remains a candidate • 33%
Disqualified • 33%
Withdraws • 34%
United Nations issues a statement • 25%
European Union issues a statement • 25%
Amnesty International issues a statement • 25%
No major international organization issues a statement • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Condemnation from African Union • 25%
Condemnation from both UN and African Union • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
International campaigns • 25%
Legal action in international courts • 25%
Both campaigns and legal action • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%