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Market
Will any Hamas member accept Netanyahu's immunity offer and lay down arms by end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Israeli defense forces or reputable news outlets
Story
Netanyahu Offers Immunity to Gazans, Including Hamas Members, Who Release Hostages
Oct 17, 2024, 05:41 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced an offer of immunity to any Gazan, including Hamas members, who release hostages and lay down their arms. This announcement follows the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, which Netanyahu described as an important milestone in the fall of Hamas' power in the Gaza Strip. Netanyahu stated, 'Whoever lays down his arms and returns our hostages, we will allow him to leave Gaza and live.'
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Similar markets
Accept and lay down arms • 25%
Reject offer • 25%
Negotiate terms • 25%
No response • 25%
Accepts the deal • 33%
Rejects the deal • 33%
Requests modifications • 33%
Increased militant activities • 25%
Formal diplomatic efforts • 25%
Public statements only • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Partial release • 25%
Offer rejected • 25%
