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Will an international investigation into Sevastopol strike be launched by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International investigative bodies, official reports
Story
US ATACMS Missile Strike in Sevastopol: 5 Dead, 124 Injured
Jun 25, 2024, 12:54 PM
A US ATACMS missile with cluster munitions struck a beach near Sevastopol, Crimea, on June 23, resulting in the deaths of five people, including children, and injuring 124 others. A US recon drone had scouted the area prior to the strike. The missile, reportedly intercepted by Russian air defenses, caused submunitions to disperse widely, hitting the water and beach. CCTV footage captured the incident, showing the M74 submunitions from the MIM-140 ATACMS missile striking the area. The incident has led to significant casualties, with five children in intensive care.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine held responsible • 33%
Russia held responsible • 33%
No conclusive evidence • 34%
United Nations • 25%
NATO • 25%
OSCE (Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe) • 25%
Ukrainian Government • 25%
Ukraine found guilty • 25%
Ukraine found not guilty • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Third party responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmed Russian responsibility • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Alternative perpetrator identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%