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Will an interim national unity government for Gaza be formed by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Palestinian Authority or recognized international news agencies
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Hamas and Fatah Sign Beijing Declaration to End Years-Long Rift
Jul 23, 2024, 09:31 AM
On July 23, representatives from 14 Palestinian factions, including Hamas and Fatah, signed the Beijing Declaration in China. The agreement, brokered by China, aims to end divisions and strengthen Palestinian unity. The declaration was signed after a three-day reconciliation dialogue held in Beijing from July 21 to 23. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi attended the signing ceremony. This marks a significant step towards resolving the years-long rift between Hamas and Fatah, and includes plans to form an interim national unity government for post-war Gaza.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formed with Hamas leadership • 25%
Formed with Fatah leadership • 25%
Formed with joint leadership • 25%
Not formed • 25%
Other • 25%
United States-trained security force • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Fatah takes control • 25%
UN-administered governance • 25%
Other entity takes control • 25%
Successfully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Indefinitely postponed • 25%
Hamas control • 25%
Palestinian Authority control • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Stabilization and reduced conflict • 25%
Continued conflict with minor improvements • 25%
Complete failure and return to conflict • 25%
Other • 25%