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Will ACE exceed 200% of normal in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NOAA's end-of-season summary report
Story
NOAA Predicts Record-Breaking 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season with 17-25 Named Storms and Up to 7 Major Hurricanes
May 25, 2024, 01:27 PM
Multiple sources, including NOAA and the National Hurricane Center, predict an exceptionally active 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season with forecasts ranging from 17 to 25 named storms and up to 7 major hurricanes due to warm ocean temperatures and a La Niña climate pattern. This season is expected to surpass previous records, raising concerns for heightened hurricane activity.
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5 or fewer • 20%
6-8 • 20%
9-11 • 20%
12-13 • 20%
14 or more • 20%
Category 1 • 20%
Category 2 • 20%
Category 3 • 20%
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Category 5 • 20%
8 hurricanes • 20%
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Category 3 • 25%
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Category 5 • 25%
No hurricanes reach Category 3 or higher • 25%
