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Market
Will a pro-Trump rule change GOP leader be elected by Dec 31, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Senate or credible news sources like CNN, BBC, or the New York Times
Story
President-Elect Trump Presses Senate GOP Leader Candidates for Rule Changes to Allow Immediate Recess Appointments
Nov 11, 2024, 01:16 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has emerged victorious in the US presidential race, marking a significant turning point in American history. In the days leading up to the selection of the new Senate GOP leader, Trump is pressuring candidates to change Senate rules to empower him to make certain appointments without a Senate vote. He is also urging GOP Senate leadership contenders on recess appointments and to fill his Cabinet immediately.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No Change • 25%
Addition of a new leadership position • 25%
Removal of an existing leadership position • 25%
Reorganization of existing positions • 25%
Mike Johnson wins unopposed • 25%
Mike Johnson wins with opposition • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Rick Scott changes position • 25%
John Cornyn changes position • 25%
John Thune changes position • 25%
No changes • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Rick Scott • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
John Thune • 25%
Other • 25%
Unanimous support • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Divided support • 25%
No consensus • 25%