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Trump Influence Causes Change in Senate GOP Leadership by Q1 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Senate or major news outlets confirming a change in GOP leadership
Story
Trump Pressures GOP Senate Candidates for Majority Leader to Bypass Confirmation Process on Cabinet Appointments
Nov 11, 2024, 10:27 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is exerting pressure on Republican senators vying for the majority leader position to expedite his Cabinet appointments. In a recent social media statement, Trump indicated that candidates must agree to allow him to bypass the traditional confirmation process for certain appointments. This demand has sparked debate among Senate Republicans, with some editorial voices urging the party not to capitulate to Trump's demands. The ongoing situation has significant implications for the Senate Republican leadership race, as Trump's influence continues to reshape the dynamics within the party.
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Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate positive impact • 25%
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No Change • 25%
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Removal of an existing leadership position • 25%
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Rick Scott changes position • 25%
John Cornyn changes position • 25%
John Thune changes position • 25%
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Rick Scott • 25%
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Healthcare policy • 25%
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Mitch McConnell • 25%
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Mitch McConnell • 25%
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John Barrasso • 25%
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John Thune • 33%
Rick Scott • 33%
John Cornyn • 33%
Other • 1%