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What will be the outcome of the GOP House leadership vote by November 15, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mike Johnson wins unopposed • 25%
Mike Johnson wins with opposition • 25%
Another candidate wins • 25%
No decision made • 25%
Official announcement from the GOP House leadership
Story
Trump Endorses Speaker Mike Johnson Ahead of GOP House Leadership Vote
Nov 13, 2024, 03:59 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has endorsed Speaker Mike Johnson to retain his role as House Speaker. During a closed-door meeting with the House GOP conference, Trump praised Johnson, calling him a 'tremendous guy' and expressing his full support. This endorsement comes just hours before an internal party leadership vote, where Johnson is expected to easily secure the GOP nomination for Speaker, with no challengers in sight. Trump's backing is seen as a significant boost for Johnson's bid, likely cementing his position in the next Congress as Republicans are expected to control the House.
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Mike Johnson remains Speaker • 25%
A new Speaker is elected • 25%
Speaker position remains vacant • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Agreement on legislative priorities • 25%
Disagreement and no clear outcome • 25%
Postponement of discussions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Unanimous support • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Divided support • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Mike Johnson • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
No Speaker elected • 25%
Donald Trump remains influential • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Democrat Leader • 25%
Republican Leader • 25%
Independent Leader • 25%
Other • 25%
Rick Scott • 33%
John Thune • 33%
John Cornyn • 33%
Other • 1%
Rick Scott • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
Another candidate • 25%
No decision made • 25%
John Thune • 33%
John Cornyn • 33%
Other • 34%