Loading...
Market
Will a federal policy be enacted to prevent men from participating in women's sports by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official policy updates from the Department of Education or credible news sources
Story
Trump to Recognize Only Two Genders, Remove Transgender from Military and Schools
Dec 23, 2024, 07:39 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that under his administration, "it will be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders: male and female." Speaking at an event in Arizona, Trump pledged to "stop the transgender lunacy" on his first day in office. He stated he would sign executive orders on day one to end practices he referred to as "child sexual mutilation," remove transgender individuals from the military, and eliminate transgender presence from elementary, middle, and high schools. Trump also emphasized plans to prevent men from participating in women's sports. His remarks indicate a significant policy shift regarding transgender rights and LGBTQ+ issues in the United States.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change in policy • 25%
Stricter eligibility rules • 25%
More inclusive eligibility rules • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal Legislation Passed • 25%
Executive Action Taken • 25%
Legal Challenges Initiated • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority adopt restrictive policies • 25%
Majority maintain current policies • 25%
Majority adopt inclusive policies with conditions • 25%
Other • 25%